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Non 91%
Non 91%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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893,4 €
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a country leave NATO this year?
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PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether any member country of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will formally withdraw from the alliance at any time during calendar year 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official withdrawal notifications or statements issued by NATO or by a member state formally invoking withdrawal procedures.
- If any NATO member formally announces and completes its withdrawal from NATO during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Political statements expressing dissatisfaction, threats to withdraw, or partial non-compliance without formal withdrawal will not count.
- If official communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations citing NATO or the withdrawing state.
