Religión

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

2m

Sí1%

No99%

Alta calidad (88)Spread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución

Volumen total66,7 M US$

Volumen 24h16,7 mil US$

POLYMARKET

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

9.0 pt (24h)2m

Argentina+9.0pt96%

Peru94%

Uruguay90%

+9 resultados más

Calidad media (65)Spread estrechoInterés abierto altoCerca de la resolución

Volumen total229,9 mil US$

Volumen 24h267,9 US$

KALSHI

Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?

1.9 pt (24h)2m

Sí4%-1.9pt

No96%+1.9pt

Calidad media (70)Spread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución

Volumen total24,6 mil US$

Volumen 24h894,5 US$

POLYMARKET

Who will the next Pope be?

Luis Antonio Tagle15%

Pietro Parolin6%

Pierbattista Pizzaballa5%

+4 resultados más

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread estrechoInterés abierto alto

Volumen total146,2 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?

Before Jan 1, 2027

2m

Sí4%

No96%

Baja calidad (≤49)Spread moderadoInterés abierto medioCerca de la resolución

Volumen total22 mil US$

Volumen 24h—

KALSHI

Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?

2m

Sí10%

No90%

Baja calidad (33)Spread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total106,7 US$

Volumen 24h—

FUTUUR

Vatican III in 2026?

2m

Sí14%

No86%

Baja calidad (32)Spread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total17,5 US$

Volumen 24h—

POLYMARKET

Pope to allow women to preach masses by the end of 2026?

2m

Sí4%

No96%

Baja calidad (31)Spread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo

Volumen total0,1 US$

Volumen 24h—

FUTUUR

Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?

2a

Sí72.3%

No27.7%

Pronóstico comunitario263 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Maitreya" before 2030?

3a

Sí42%

No58%

Pronóstico comunitario4 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?

18d

Sí3.6%

No96.4%

Pronóstico comunitario49 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

AI Cult exists by 2027

6m

Sí75.9%

No24.1%

Pronóstico comunitario182 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?

2m

Sí12.5%

No87.5%

Pronóstico comunitario51 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?

2m

Sí7.8%

No92.2%

Pronóstico comunitario28 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

2a

Sí2.2%

No97.8%

Pronóstico comunitario192 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

3a

Chicago, IL8.3%

New Orleans, LA8.3%

St. Louis, MO8.3%

+9 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitarioTipo: multiple choice

hace 17 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which religions will have gained in total self-identified practicing members from 2026 to 2057?

Buddhist50%

Hindu50%

Jain50%

+1 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitarioTipo: multiple choice

hace 15 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)

1a

Sí46.6%

No53.4%

Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 52 minutos

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?

2025-203010%

2031-204010%

2041-205010%

+7 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 5 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If Hildebrand, the antipope elected by Bugnolo, is consecrated, which episcopal lineage will the consecrator have?

2m

Old Catholic17.5%

ICAB14.5%

Liberal Catholic14.5%

+4 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 12 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Wanneer gaat Timon zich bekeren?

9a

202821.9%

202915.1%

20279.7%

+7 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 12 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When is a millennial (or younger) Catholic pope first elected?

2040s33.7%

2030s11.5%

2020s1%

+1 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 12 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When is a zoomer (or younger) Catholic pope first elected?

2040s13.9%

2030s5.4%

2020s2%

+1 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 4 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which biblical prophecy will be most frequently cited as being fulfilled by world events before January 1, 2027?

2m

Increase in Wars and Rumors of Wars (Matthew 24:6-7)11.9%

Preparation for the Third Temple (Daniel 9:27, Matthew 24:15)8.4%

Rise of the Antichrist (2 Thessalonians 2:3-4)6%

+14 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Come Judgment Day, will Jose Luis Ricon enter hell due to being heathen?

Sí50%

No50%

Pronóstico comunitarioTipo: binary

hace 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will god is real?

2m

Sí50%

No50%

Pronóstico comunitarioTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

2a

Sí50%

No50%

Pronóstico comunitarioTipo: binary

hace 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Domenic Denicola attend a Mormon Transhumanism Association (MTA) conference by EOY2030?

4a

Sí50%

No50%

Pronóstico comunitarioTipo: binary

hace 6 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

1a

Sí14.2%

No85.8%

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Andres Gomez Emilson or Joscha Bach watch the crucifixion of Jesus Christ while high on 5-MEO-DMT by EOY2045

19a

Sí45.2%

No54.8%

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the papal name of Leo XIV's successor?

Alexander20.3%

Leo8.9%

Francis4.4%

+9 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario8 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 9 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which religion will I identify with at the end of the year?

2m

conventional Protestantism23.6%

Catholicism/Eastern Orthodoxy/Oriental Orthodoxy20.1%

Buddhism8.7%

+6 resultados más

Pronóstico comunitario5 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice

hace 10 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?

2m

Sí90.6%

No9.4%

Pronóstico comunitario25 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Barton Rhodes or Alex Zhu watch the crucifixion of Jesus Christ while high on psychedelics by EOY2045

19a

Sí43.1%

No56.9%

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Lillian Tara have her own personal army/cult by EOY 2032?

6a

Sí50%

No50%

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 6 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Vincent Weisser be canonized as a saint? (St. Weisser)

Sí20%

No80%

Pronóstico comunitario1 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 8 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will basedbeffjezos end up crucified? (nailed to the cross)

Sí40.5%

No59.5%

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030?

3a

Sí48.2%

No51.8%

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the LDS (Mormon) Church publicly report membership numbers through 2030?

4a

Sí90.1%

No9.9%

Pronóstico comunitario2 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will @repligate/janus have an arranged marriage?

Sí47.9%

No52.1%

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Ted Cruz meet Sadhguru?

Sí45.3%

No54.7%

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 4 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the "core" Jewish population of the UK be greater than that of Canada by 2030?

3a

Sí31.6%

No68.4%

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

3m

Sí13.5%

No86.5%

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 6 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Jose Luis Ricon be beatified?

Sí5.8%

No94.2%

Pronóstico comunitario3 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Hindu population of the UK be more than 4 times the Jewish population of the UK by 2030?

3a

Sí70%

No30%

Pronóstico comunitario4 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

3m

Sí17.7%

No82.3%

Pronóstico comunitario4 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Catholic Church canonize Jose Luis Ricon as a saint by 2100?

Sí5.6%

No94.4%

Pronóstico comunitario4 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

Sí61.3%

No38.7%

Pronóstico comunitario5 pronosticadoresTipo: binary

hace 6 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?

Who will the next Pope be?

Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?

Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?

Vatican III in 2026?

Pope to allow women to preach masses by the end of 2026?

Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Maitreya" before 2030?

Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?

AI Cult exists by 2027

Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?

Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?

Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

Which religions will have gained in total self-identified practicing members from 2026 to 2057?

GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)

When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?

If Hildebrand, the antipope elected by Bugnolo, is consecrated, which episcopal lineage will the consecrator have?

Wanneer gaat Timon zich bekeren?

When is a millennial (or younger) Catholic pope first elected?

When is a zoomer (or younger) Catholic pope first elected?

Which biblical prophecy will be most frequently cited as being fulfilled by world events before January 1, 2027?

Come Judgment Day, will Jose Luis Ricon enter hell due to being heathen?

Will god is real?

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Will Domenic Denicola attend a Mormon Transhumanism Association (MTA) conference by EOY2030?

Will "Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Andres Gomez Emilson or Joscha Bach watch the crucifixion of Jesus Christ while high on 5-MEO-DMT by EOY2045

What will be the papal name of Leo XIV's successor?

Which religion will I identify with at the end of the year?

Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?

Will Barton Rhodes or Alex Zhu watch the crucifixion of Jesus Christ while high on psychedelics by EOY2045

Will Lillian Tara have her own personal army/cult by EOY 2032?

Will Vincent Weisser be canonized as a saint? (St. Weisser)

Will basedbeffjezos end up crucified? (nailed to the cross)

Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030?

Will the LDS (Mormon) Church publicly report membership numbers through 2030?

Will @repligate/janus have an arranged marriage?

Will Ted Cruz meet Sadhguru?

Will the "core" Jewish population of the UK be greater than that of Canada by 2030?

Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will Jose Luis Ricon be beatified?

Will the Hindu population of the UK be more than 4 times the Jewish population of the UK by 2030?

Will "Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will the Catholic Church canonize Jose Luis Ricon as a saint by 2100?

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

Mercados clave