FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%
No 96%Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
259,1 €
Baja liquidezTraders
2
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts whether the Pope will formally allow women to preach during Catholic Masses by December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official changes to Canon Law or authoritative Vatican documents confirming the authorization of women to preach at Mass.
- If Canon Law or official Vatican directives are amended to explicitly allow women to preach during Mass by the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Permissions limited to non-Mass settings or informal practices without canonical authorization will not count.
- If official Church documents are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Catholic or international news organizations.
