Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffReligionBusiness & CorporateSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.9%
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48
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado16 oct 25, 21:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PredictItReglas
In May 2025, Pope Leo XIV succeeded Pope Francis, becoming the first American pope in history.
- He has since spoken frequently about global issues, from immigration to the Israel–Palestine conflict, emphasizing compassion, fraternity, and solidarity in his apostolic exhortation Dilexi Te (October 2025), a 20,000-word document reaffirming gospel teachings on human dignity and mercy.
- He's also made some pop culture headlines.
- In June, Pope Leo stepped out into St Peter's Square wearing a Chicago White Sox baseball cap.
- Yesterday, a visitor to the Vatican yelled "Go Cubs!" from the crowd as Pope Leo drove by, and he clapped back "They lost!"
- Prediction markets (particularly Polymarket) have been in a news a lot in recent weeks as the ICE invested $2bln on a $9bln valuation, and Polymarket moves to expand into the US market for the first time.
Mercados abiertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
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- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+10.5pt66%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 500,6 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 266,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt50.4%
- October 31-3.0pt27.8%
- September 30+1.0pt12.2%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 56,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 190,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+5.5pt22%
- October 31+9.0pt18%
- September 30+3.9pt7%
+9 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027??
- Está previsto que Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In May 2025, Pope Leo XIV succeeded Pope Francis, becoming the first American pope in history.