KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Luis Antonio Tagle 4%-1.7ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,4 mil €
Liquidez
23,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.9 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
18 jul 25, 14:00 UTC1 ene 70, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Volumen total
- 57,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,6 mil €
KALSHIWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Peru93%
- Argentina92%
- Uruguay92%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 167,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 150,2 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No88.1%
- Yes11.9%
- Volumen total
- 882,4 €
- Volumen 24h
- 74,5 €
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No+0.3pt92%
- Yes-0.3pt8%
- Volumen total
- 9 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Brigham Young University allow students to wear beards by 2030
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Volumen total
- 1,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 217,7 €
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volumen total
- 701 €
- Volumen 24h
- 0,9 €
- Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Knights Templar restored as a personal prelature of the pope during Pope Leo's papacy?
- Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will the next Pope be??
- Kalshi cotiza Luis Antonio Tagle al 4% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will the next Pope be??
- Está previsto que Who will the next Pope be? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2070.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will the next Pope be??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.