Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 3:24 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 50%
Pronosticadores
0
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado16 nov 25, 7:44 UTC31 oct 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
The rationale for this market is partly to gauge if Pope Leo will follow through on Francis' work on synodality.
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if a special post-synodal Ecclesial Assembly is held in the Vatican in October 2028.
- Resolution will be confirmed through official Vatican announcements or credible Catholic news sources documenting the assembly's occurrence.
- The assembly must take place in October 2028 and be formally approved by Pope Leo.
- If the assembly is postponed, cancelled, or does not occur in October 2028, the market resolves NO.
