PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 26%-0.5%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
306,1 €
Liquidez
14,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
29 dic 25, 22:0531 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
December 3126%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Stepnohirsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Stepnohirsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.