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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31
December 31 16%-2.0%
Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado

73 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

81,8 mil €

Liquidez

24,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

1.2% / 1.4%

Spread

16.7%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-0.6%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

4 nov 25, 15:5430 jun 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
November 30
November 30
0%
December 31
December 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Resultado elegido

December 3116%

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.

Mercados Relacionados

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48,8 mil €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

47,9 mil €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

36,4 mil €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

447 €
Sí: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Sí: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,623.61+2.20%EthereumETH$1,650.13+1.53%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.61%XRPXRP$1.12+0.32%BNBBNB$594.92+1.62%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.