Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
16.0 pts (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 65.3%-16.0pt
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
338,2 €
Liquidez
465,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
24.0% / 45.0%
Spread
21.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
5
Cambio 7d
+16.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
31 mar 26, 19:44 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
- For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
- Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
- Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.