PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 77%+23.5pt
Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
7,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
17.0% / 29.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
19 sept 26, 1:13 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata.
- Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice.
- An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.