PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
October 31 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
October 31 9%Líder entre 3 opciones
October 31 9%Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
89,7 €
Liquidez
9,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
1,2 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
October 31Spread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
20 ago 26, 0:32 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
August 31Perdida
September 30Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · October 31
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
PolymarketWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will Israel next strike Iranian territory? (window closes Nov 30, 2026)
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata.
- Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
- An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.