Negative GDP growth in 2026?

EconomíaOne-Off7m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 8%

Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

694,5 €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

6.2% / 10.5%

Spread

69.3%

Spread amplio

Cambio 7d

+0.3%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

13 nov 25, 21:2729 ene 27, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes8%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,811.68+1.88%

EthereumETH$1,657.73+1.24%

SolanaSOL$65.18+1.51%

Mercados Relacionados

US recession by end of 2026?

3,3 mil €

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POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €

5.0%: 17%

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Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €

Sí: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €

4.2%: 32%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,2 €

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €

Sí: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.28%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.38%

BNBBNB$601.25+2.40%

CardanoADA$0.1674+3.74%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.71+0.04%

LitecoinLTC$42.65+0.31%

Reglas

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

EconomíaOne-Off7m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 8%

Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

694,5 €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

6.2% / 10.5%

Spread

69.3%

Spread amplio

Cambio 7d

+0.3%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

13 nov 25, 21:2729 ene 27, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes8%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,811.68+1.88%

EthereumETH$1,657.73+1.24%

SolanaSOL$65.18+1.51%

Mercados Relacionados

US recession by end of 2026?

3,3 mil €

Sí: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €

Sí: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €

4.2%: 32%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,2 €

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €

Sí: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.28%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.38%

BNBBNB$601.25+2.40%

CardanoADA$0.1674+3.74%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.71+0.04%

LitecoinLTC$42.65+0.31%

Reglas

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.