Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 96.3%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado4 may 23, 2:06 UTC1 ene 27, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?
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Manifold MarketsNegative GDP growth in 2026?
PolymarketNegative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?
FutuurWill the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
FutuurReglas
Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19
- [image]This market will resolve to YES if this measure of Inflation- Unemployment Rate, as measured in the Fred is below -4% the next time the Federal Reserve cuts the baseline rates.
- I may bet on this market
- May 3, 11:08pm: Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below 4%? → Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Mercados abiertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volumen total
- 997 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 41,2 mil €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Está previsto que Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19