Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 97.1%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado18 jun 26, 12:01 UTC28 oct 26, 18:25 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a majority of the Fed vote to raise rates by Sept. 16?
PredictItWill credit card rates be capped in 2026?
KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Use the change announced in the first official FOMC statement or decision release tied to the October 27-28, 2026 meeting.
- YES if the target range is at least 25 basis points below the range in effect immediately before that meeting.
- NO if the target range is unchanged or is lowered by less than 25 basis points.
- Do not use the chair's press-conference wording, projections, minutes, market pricing, or later revisions.
- If the October 2026 FOMC meeting is postponed or canceled, resolve N/A unless a substitute official decision release for that meeting is issued.
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volumen total
- 997 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 41,2 mil €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- Está previsto que Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting? se resuelva el 28 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.