Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?
Geopolítica
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 11 mar 2024, 0:01
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado20 feb 24, 20:0210 mar 24, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."
- This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place.
- Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.
- The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 25 de abril de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan??
- Está previsto que Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? se resuelva el 10 de marzo de 2024.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."