PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual25 bps increase 80%+0.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
91 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
758,3 €
Liquidez
29,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
79.0% / 81.0%
Spread
2.5%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-7.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
17 jun 26, 22:5310 sept 26, 11:59
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
25 bps increase80%
Comparar plataformas· 25 bps increase
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 80% | — | 758,3 € | 29,5 mil € | hace 14 minutos | |
 Kalshi64% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 1% | — | 0 € | 132,7 € | hace 14 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
European Central Bank rate decision in September
1m
1%
1%
1%
+2 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total132,7 €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$8632 jul25d de datos26 jul
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).