KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Hike 25bps 84.8%+1.0ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
3,6 mil €
Liquidez
41,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
28 jul 26, 21:1518 sept 26, 2:29
Tendencias
Reglas
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm 25 bps increase 86% · 2 plataformas · banda de 13 pt
- También disponible en Futuur — Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 72%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Bank of Japan Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 85%
Mercados abiertos
Central BanksKALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts+30.0pt66%
- Exactly 4 cuts-19.0pt21.4%
- 7 or more cuts-12.0pt5.8%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 61,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+2.0pt63.4%
- H 25+1.0pt22.3%
- C 25+1.0pt8.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity+5.0pt79%
- Independent / Independence70%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase85%
- No change-0.5pt14%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease+1.6pt90%
- No Change-2.0pt10%
- 50+ bps increase0%
+2 resultados más
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea rate decision in August
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Hike 25bps al 85% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- Está previsto que Bank of Japan rate decision in September se resuelva el 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Polymarket.