KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Hike 1-25bps (99%)
Resuelto: 29 sept 2026, 12:38
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 sept 2026, 7:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Maintain current rate4%
Hike more than 25bps1%
Hike 1-25bps99%
Hike 1-25bpsGanada
Maintain current ratePerdida
Cut more than 25bpsPerdida
Cut 1-25bpsPerdida
Hike more than 25bpsPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExReserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).