KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Hike 1-25bps 95.2%+1.0ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9,2 mil €
Liquidez
74,6 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
22 jul 26, 21:00 UTC10 sept 26, 12:14 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
- También disponible en Polymarket — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 100%
Mercados abiertos
Central Banks
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 435,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 40,4 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 41,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Hike 1-25bps al 95% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- Está previsto que European Central Bank rate decision in September se resuelva el 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless, Polymarket.