PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
25 bps increase 97%-0.4ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
84 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
17,6 mil €
Liquidez
110,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.2 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
17 jun 26, 23:32 UTC18 sept 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para 25 bps increase es del 98%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm 25 bps increase 98% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Futuur — Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 95%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Bank of Japan rate decision in September · Hike 25bps 94%