Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 53.2%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
26 ago 26, 18:24 UTC16 sept 26, 17:55 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: September 2026
LimitlessWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExReglas
Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its September 15–16, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.
- Resolve NO if the FOMC leaves the target range unchanged or lowers it.
- Resolution will be based on the first official Federal Reserve monetary policy statement issued for the September 15–16, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The size of the increase does not matter.
- Any increase in the target range counts as YES.
- Changes to forward guidance, the balance sheet, quantitative tightening, Treasury operations, or any other policy measure do not count unless the target range for the federal funds rate is also increased.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volumen total
- 997 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 41,2 mil €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026??
- Está previsto que 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026? se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its September 15–16, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.