KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualHike >25bps 3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
232,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
29 sept 25, 14:0016 sept 26, 17:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Hike >25bps3%
Comparar plataformas· Hike 25bps
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general93% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 54% | — | 36 mil € | 538,3 mil € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Media | 49% | — | 1,6 mil € | 232,7 mil € | hace 26 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Fed Decision in September?
1m
54%
41%
-0.1%4%
+2 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total3,8 M €
Volumen 24h36 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$2.6k41.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthtellerhace 14 h
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthtellerhace 14 h$1.5k97.0%KALSHIHike >25bps — Noayer
KALSHIHike >25bps — Noayer$1.1k53.2%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahanteayer
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahanteayer$2.0k44.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaulhace 5 d
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaulhace 5 d$2.1k96.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefunghace 9 d
POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefunghace 9 d$3.0k61.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRiskhace 10 d
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRiskhace 10 d$1.8k38.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgilhace 11 d
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgilhace 11 d$1.1k59.8%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970hace 17 d
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970hace 17 dTendencia de volumen
$1.8k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
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0 €Cut >25bps: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.