KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Hike 25bps 53.5%+2.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
1,9 M €
Liquidez
26,7 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
29 sept 25, 14:00 UTC16 sept 26, 17:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Fed decision in September? · 25+ bps increase 51%
- También disponible en Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Hike 25bps 51%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Hike 25bps 51%
- También disponible en Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 52%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 53%
- También disponible en Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 52%
Mercados abiertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 91 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%99%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 29,4 mil €
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Fed decision in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Hike 25bps al 53% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Fed decision in Sep 2026??
- Está previsto que Fed decision in Sep 2026? se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Fed decision in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Fed decision in Sep 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Polymarket, Limitless.