Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónEuropePolíticaCorporate ActionsManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (94%)
Resuelto: 15 ago 2026, 18:07
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 días
Desactualizado17 ene 26, 17:3415 ago 26, 18:07
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes6%
No94%
94%
6%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
Resolves YES if at least one of the tariffs at least as large as stated in this Truth Social post are implemented at the latest by the times detailed in this post on at least one European country for the explicit purposes of acquiring Greenland
- https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115911344443637897
- Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the US implements at least 10% tariffs on at least one European country beginning February 1, 2026, or at least 25% tariffs on at least one European country beginning June 1, 2026, explicitly for the purpose of acquiring Greenland.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Trump administration and verified through official trade policy sources such as the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (https://ustr.gov/) or the U.S. Department of Commerce (https://www.commerce.gov/).
- The market resolves NO if no such tariffs are implemented by June 1, 2026, or if any implemented tariffs are not explicitly tied to Greenland acquisition.
