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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.9% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyPolíticaUS PoliticsChina18d
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 4%-0.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

177,9 €

Liquidez

7,1 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

3.2% / 5.4%

Spread

68.8%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-1.2%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

24 ene 26, 17:3930 jun 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes4%

Reglas

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

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Mercados Relacionados

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

0 €
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Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

0 €
Sí: 0%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sí: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Sí: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.