PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 86%-0.7pt
Calidad del mercado
76 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
29,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
85.9% / 86.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-2.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
29 may 26, 13:14 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.