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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

One-OffTrade PolicyChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 75%
Calidad del mercado

68 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

247 €

Liquidez

12,4 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

73.0% / 77.0%

Spread

5.5%

Spread moderado
Cambio 7d

+4.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 6 minutos

29 may 26, 13:2231 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes75%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,667.07+2.15%EthereumETH$1,649.01+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.01+1.40%

Mercados Relacionados

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sí: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Sí: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,3 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.54%XRPXRP$1.12+0.30%BNBBNB$594.83+1.58%CardanoADA$0.1659+3.45%HyperliquidHYPE$55.59+0.32%LitecoinLTC$42.62+0.30%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.