Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
Política comercialOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.China4m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 74%
Sí 74%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Interés abierto
412 €
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
69.0% / 79.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
3 jun 26, 23:30 UTC4 feb 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
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Manifold MarketsReglas
La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
Liquida mediante:the U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S. Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table. For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion. The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion. Data are nominal and not seasonally adjusted. Revisions published after the first annual 2026 value is released will not be considered.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Yes
- La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
- No
- La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.