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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsChina7m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 0%
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

0 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

79.0% / 86.0%

Spread

8.9%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

3 jun 26, 23:304 feb 27, 13:29

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Sí
Sí
0%
No
No
100%

Resultado elegido

Yes0%

Reglas

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,601.46+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.79+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.72%XRPXRP$1.12+0.19%BNBBNB$594.24+1.57%

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Reglas

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.