PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 1 ago 2026, 6:38
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 ago 2026, 6:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%+0.0pt
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
134,2 €
Liquidez
9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Cambio 7d
-2.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 31 días
Desactualizado26 jun 26, 21:1231 jul 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
