KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 39%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
107 €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
22 jul 26, 0:00 UTC1 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the United States impose additional tariffs on South Korea by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Library of Congress
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
Mercados abiertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt56.6%
- October 31+3.0pt30.3%
- September 30+1.0pt13.1%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 118,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,6 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-2.5pt4%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+25.0pt95%
- No5%
- Volumen total
- 6,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,7 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202782%
- Before Dec 1, 202650%
- Before Nov 1, 202650%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 mil €
KALSHITraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Above 175-2.0pt90%
- Above 20047%
- Above 2259%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+3.0pt56%
- September 30-10.0pt13%
- September 151%
+1 resultados más
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will new tariffs become law??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 39% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will new tariffs become law??
- Está previsto que Will new tariffs become law? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will new tariffs become law??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.