KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Before Oct 1, 2026 (86%)
Resuelto: 24 sept 2026, 19:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 24 sept 2026, 18:57 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
Before Oct 1, 202686%
Before Nov 1, 202649%
Before Dec 1, 2026Perdida
Before Jan 1, 2027Perdida
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 1, 2026Ganada
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiTrump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. formally eliminate the tariff on Irish whiskey by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.