PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 92.1%
Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
4,8 mil €
Liquidez
15,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
14 sept 26, 20:40 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An AI pacing agreement means an agreement under which both governments commit to at least one of the following for AI developers within their jurisdictions: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Both governments must announce their acceptance of the agreement.
- A joint statement will qualify, as will separate official statements from each government that, taken together, confirm acceptance of the agreement.
- A statement by one government that the other does not confirm, and statements that reference ongoing negotiations, a prospective agreement, or an intention to cooperate without confirming acceptance of an agreement, will not qualify.