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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US trade deficit for 2026?
US trade deficit for 2026?

US trade deficit for 2026?

One-OffTrade Policy8m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Below 45‎ billion
Below 45‎ billion 2%
Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

71 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

- / 4.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

24 feb 26, 15:0028 feb 27, 13:29

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Below 45‎ billion2%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

8m
800–900B
800–900B
+2.5%41%
900B–1T
900B–1T
-0.5%19%
600–700B
600–700B
-0.2%10%

+5 resultados más

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total18,4 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,664.74+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.73+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.78%XRPXRP$1.12+0.33%BNBBNB$595.52+1.68%

Reglas

If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.