Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 40 minutos
28 ago 23, 8:17 UTC31 dic 28, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
Manifold MarketsWill AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhen AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?
Manifold Markets2026 World GDP Growth
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiReglas
We will resolve it at the closing time to "No" if there's no year with growth over 14% or insufficient growth for the GDP to have doubled.
- Otherwise, I will have to wait for official statistics to resolve this.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 91 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 569,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 47,4 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 359,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 16,4 mil €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 314,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,5 mil €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the World's GDP double in 5 years??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the World's GDP double in 5 years??
- Está previsto que Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the World's GDP double in 5 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: We will resolve it at the closing time to "No" if there's no year with growth over 14% or insufficient growth for the GDP to have doubled.