KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 98%
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
227,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 2.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
9 jun 26, 20:30 UTC1 oct 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
- Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
- OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
- Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
- A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026??
- Está previsto que Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Polymarket.