¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027??

Manifold Markets cotiza Shutdown 2 al 46.3% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Shutdown 2 46.3%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 17 horas

Desactualizado

27 ago 26, 20:07 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.

Please read the full description before trading.
For fairness, and because of the nonstandard mechanism, I will not trade on any market in this Set.
The reason I made this mechanism is because I noticed that due to the multiplier mechanism other multiplied odds markets tend to have their results N/A, which reverts all trades on the market, this means there is no reward for trading information even if the market does resolve correctly.
This way all 5 of the markets should always have the same odds, and for one of them trades on it will not revert.
There is no mechanism to force trading on all 5 markets, which means they can (but shouldn't) separate.