(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
EconomíaOne-OffUS PoliticsPolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualShutdown 2 46.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado27 ago 26, 20:07 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.
- Please read the full description before trading.
- For fairness, and because of the nonstandard mechanism, I will not trade on any market in this Set.
- The reason I made this mechanism is because I noticed that due to the multiplier mechanism other multiplied odds markets tend to have their results N/A, which reverts all trades on the market, this means there is no reward for trading information even if the market does resolve correctly.
- This way all 5 of the markets should always have the same odds, and for one of them trades on it will not revert.
- There is no mechanism to force trading on all 5 markets, which means they can (but shouldn't) separate.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 554,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,8 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volumen total
- 314,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 76 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Shutdown 2 al 46% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027??
- Está previsto que (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.