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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Economía
  3. Government shutdown by October 1?
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

EconomíaOne-OffPolítica3m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 43%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

5,2 €

Liquidez

164,5 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

24.0% / 61.0%

Spread

154.2%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 9 minutos

10 jun 26, 16:382 oct 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes43%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.

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US recession by end of 2026?

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3,2 mil €
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

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Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

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June Unemployment Rate

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134,5 €
4.3%: 32%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,632.16+2.05%EthereumETH$1,649.51+1.21%SolanaSOL$65.05+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$594.80+1.45%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.