KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 19:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Above -3.5% of GDP · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Above -3.5% of GDP 94.5%Líder entre 7 opciones
Above -3.5% of GDP 94.5%Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
5,3 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Above -3.5% of GDPSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
7 sept 26, 19:00 UTC20 abr 27, 12:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Above -3.5% of GDP
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Reglas
If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -2.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:International Monetary Fund
- Important information: Negative values represent budget deficits. A higher, less-negative value represents a smaller deficit. For example, −4.0% is above −5.0%. “General government net lending/borrowing” is calculated as government revenue minus total expenditure. A negative value represents net borrowing, or a deficit, while a positive value represents net lending, or a surplus. This IMF measure may differ from budget-balance figures published by national authorities because of differences in government coverage, accounting methods or reporting periods. Only the value reported by the IMF for the applicable country and year will be used. The market will use the value initially published for the applicable country and year in the April 2027 edition of the IMF World Economic Outlook database, regardless of any subsequent revisions or updates. For countries whose government-finance data are presented by the IMF on a fiscal-year basis, the applicable period is the fiscal year identified by the IMF for that year.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above -3.5% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -3.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -3.0% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -3.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -2.5% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -2.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -2.0% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -2.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -1.5% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -1.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -1.0% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -1.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -0.5% of GDP
- If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -0.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.
