Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.2%
Pronosticadores
100
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 may 22, 1:21 UTC1 ene 30, 6:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.
- Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea.
- Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.
Mercados abiertos
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
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- 22,2 M €
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- 470,8 mil €
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- 35,3 M €
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- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.