Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.5%
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102
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 17 minutos
14 may 22, 1:21 UTC1 ene 30, 6:00 UTC
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Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.
- Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea.
- Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.