Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffEurope3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.9%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 8:25 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if the United States takes military action against any other member of NATO before the 1st of January 2027, otherwise resolves NO.
- Military action includes but is not limited to:
- remote attack by missile or drone.
- Deploying ground troops to the other nation’s soil in contravention of the wishes of that nation.
- Covert operations that are acknowledged by the US or strongly evidenced by the other nation.
- Anything noted by both sides as a training exercise will not cause this market to resolve YES.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the United States takes military action against any other member of NATO before the 1st of January 2027, otherwise resolves NO.