Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?
EconomíaPolíticaOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado27 feb 25, 4:46 UTC20 ene 29, 2:59 UTC
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PredictItReglas
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trillion-dollar_coin
- Given the troubles Johnson went through to become speaker, many believe there will be upcoming fights over the budget, debt ceiling, and government shutdowns.
- President Trump can get around this by "minting the coin" (see above link - TL;DR, he has the authority to tell the mint to strike a platinum coin of arbitrary value to overcome limits).
- Will President Trump ever mint the coin (or coins) during his administration? This resolves YES if/when two conditions are both fulfilled:
- Such a platinum coin(s) is/are minted
- Trump is president at the time (or was at the time the order to mint the coin was given)
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Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 702,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 400 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 mil €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,9 mil €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration??
- Está previsto que Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trillion-dollar_coin