¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"?

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 14 de octubre de 2026.

Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 99%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

9 ene 23, 4:33 UTC1 feb 27, 5:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

See related market for context: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-president-biden-mint-the-coin

This market resolves N/A if there is never an actual credible threat of a government shutdown during the Biden administration.
If there is, and president Biden orders the mint to strike one or more platinum coins of collective denominations high enough to evade the budgetary issues, this market immediately resolves YES as soon as the coin(s) exist(s).
Should the threat arise and should Biden "mint the coin," this market resolves YES regardless of whether he does so in time to actually avert a government shutdown or not.
Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", this market resolves NO if the government shuts down for any amount of time.
Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", and a government shutdown is averted through any other means, this market resolves N/A.