Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
One-OffMiddle EastUS PoliticsElecciónGeopolíticaPolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 80.5%
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado11 mar 26, 15:15 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When Iran’s new Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next next Supreme Leader?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhy hasn't Mojtaba Khamenei been seen in public?
Manifold MarketsMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced by the Assembly of Experts as the new supreme leader on 8 March 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Mojtaba Khamenei remains Iran's supreme leader on 1 January 2027.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer the supreme leader by that date due to death, removal, resignation, or any other reason.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from Iran's government or credible international news sources confirming his status as supreme leader on the specified date.
- An election for the third supreme leader of Iran was held in early March 2026, following the assassination of Ali Khamenei on 28 February 2026 during the 2026 Iran war.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 107,6 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 104,5 mil €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria