PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 26%+2.5ptLíder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
44,9 mil €
Liquidez
169,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
417
Cambio 7d
+0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
9 mar 26, 22:151 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.8pt100%
- August 25+1.1pt97%
- August 31+1.0pt89%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 502,7 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.9pt69%
- October 31-0.5pt42%
- September 3027%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Volumen total
- 420,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 205,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)+2.1pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt88.1%
- Yes-1.0pt11.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,5 mil €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+9 resultados más
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
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- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
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- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 26% a fecha de 22 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Está previsto que Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).