Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 73.4%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC1 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 423,4 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,4 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 resultados más
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.