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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

12.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaLatin America1m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before August 1, 2026
Before August 1, 2026 18%-12.0%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

44 €

Liquidez

2,5 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

17.0% / 22.0%

Spread

29.4%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

12 may 26, 20:001 ago 26, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%
Before June 1, 2026
Before June 1, 2026
0%

Resultado elegido

Before August 1, 202618%

Reglas

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
  • For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,747.01+2.09%EthereumETH$1,658.04+1.67%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%BNBBNB$596.37+1.81%

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Reglas

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
  • For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.