Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
One-OffChinaRegulaciónTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.9%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado6 may 24, 16:05 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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This is an evaluation of this prediction from Jack Clark (https://twitter.com/jackclarkSF/status/1787493143186948454)
- "Registering bet that CCP prohibitions on generation of "unsafe" content will mean companies like Facebook use CN-developed censorship techniques to train models so they can be openly disseminated 'safely'.
- The horseshoe theory of AI politics where communist and libertarian ideologies end up in the same place."
- This is in reference to Sophon, and potential future advances like it: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.12699.
- Resolves to YES if this statement proves accurate within the deadline with respect to Meta in particular, as applied to Meta's best open weights model at the time.
- Resolves to NO if this does not happen.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques??
- Está previsto que Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is an evaluation of this prediction from Jack Clark (https://twitter.com/jackclarkSF/status/1787493143186948454)