KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 9.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
28 jul 26, 19:51 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketReglas
If Anthropic officially announces signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseABCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalMSNBCThe InformationNBCThe Washington PostThe New York TimesAxiosReutersCNNthe Associated PressCBSPoliticoBloomberg News
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt94%
- Yes-1.2pt6%
- Volumen total
- 19,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 263 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-12.0pt49%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt88%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt83%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+9.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+6.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 202717%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7 M €
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Volumen total
- 13 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,1 mil €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.1pt62.6%
- 8–11B+6.7pt10.1%
- 11–14B-0.1pt8.1%
+5 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Anthropic officially announces signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.