Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado10 feb 26, 16:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if Anthropic posts an open-source or open-weights model in 2026.
- It doesn't have to be big, and it doesn't have to be new (releasing, say, Opus 3 still counts).
Mercados abiertos
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- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
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- 322,4 mil €
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
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- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Anthropic posts an open-source or open-weights model in 2026.