Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffIA3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54.8%
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 25, 13:25 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
In June 2025, the GigaChat team released three open-source models based on the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture with 20 billion total parameters (3.3 billion active).
- GigaChat is developed by SaluteDevices, a subsidiary of Sberbank, one of Russia's largest financial institutions and a leading player in Russian AI development.
- While the team has released smaller open-weights models, they maintain proprietary versions (GigaChat Pro and GigaChat MAX) for which no architectural details or weights have been disclosed.
- The progression to releasing significantly larger open-weights models would provide signal towards several important developments in Russia's AI ecosystem:
- Computational capacity: Training models above 100B parameters requires substantial GPU clusters and energy infrastructure.
- Delivering a ≥100B judged worthwhile to make open-weights would suggest access to a reasonable scale of AI infrastructure
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 55% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In June 2025, the GigaChat team released three open-source models based on the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture with 20 billion total parameters (3.3 billion active).