PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 33%
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
19,6 mil €
Liquidez
23,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.6% / 7.6%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
21 may 26, 17:481 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv (47.559860° N, 35.786219° E), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 33% a fecha de 23 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv (47.559860° N, 35.786219° E), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.