PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
55-60% 78.3%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
17,9 mil €
Liquidez
28,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.1 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
20 sept 26, 14:15 UTC20 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot.
- Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
- Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party.
- Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
